Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 381.064613 433.623625 492.376290 563.211774 646.683293 742.384224 861.078764
2025-08-17 310.136234 380.163753 465.874683 579.712041 728.763637 919.852555 1187.583353
2025-08-24 265.656820 341.124493 438.951140 577.320415 771.725771 1040.924963 1452.426776
2025-08-31 231.828516 308.620196 412.744872 567.619241 798.091202 1138.423054 1698.994159
2025-09-07 209.785510 288.080564 398.469738 570.104111 839.030587 1260.191681 2004.158133
2025-09-14 188.258453 265.198635 377.238573 558.039059 854.041818 1341.830664 2258.554291
2025-09-21 173.104819 249.653365 364.512474 556.445473 884.076361 1451.230578 2584.256074
2025-09-28 155.297197 228.172073 340.152644 532.593459 872.430545 1485.071858 2773.369520
2025-10-05 149.551485 224.630899 343.322309 554.304275 942.630932 1678.725039 3330.029670
2025-10-12 145.181074 222.720437 348.698481 580.119449 1023.811623 1908.224261 4027.979172
2025-10-19 137.323689 214.335330 342.298963 583.871503 1063.177492 2060.400524 4592.060390
2025-10-26 127.354231 201.561309 327.128320 569.516820 1064.223380 2130.949840 4974.592730
2025-11-02 118.624128 190.423345 314.195132 558.660651 1072.464944 2222.773077 5453.382038
2025-11-09 114.778965 187.440341 315.562726 575.841628 1143.143620 2474.562151 6471.963807
2025-11-16 108.604228 179.807217 307.658355 573.370758 1170.006503 2626.114875 7251.824183
2025-11-23 102.101033 171.077834 296.917767 563.760625 1179.016355 2734.387699 7937.790017
2025-11-30 97.661016 165.771461 292.194017 566.223826 1216.760783 2927.161145 8995.130060
2025-12-07 91.934747 157.666496 281.364840 554.257510 1217.577946 3018.518876 9727.686609
2025-12-14 87.826118 152.320920 275.532882 552.676894 1244.210997 3190.585371 10856.887855
2025-12-21 81.723952 142.785134 260.598218 529.018375 1210.563510 3175.784860 11215.973248
2025-12-28 80.631027 142.835727 265.113166 550.553138 1299.837299 3563.619244 13542.883904
2026-01-04 79.914541 143.557670 271.051919 576.157150 1405.098088 4035.259530 16598.514654
2026-01-11 77.236226 140.187619 268.080152 579.878352 1449.292126 4313.189985 18879.684483